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Winning
at Roulette
By Jacob Kanzen
There are more systems devised to beat the roulette wheel than any other game.
A system may give
you an edge, but don't expect to systematically play your way to riches
off the casinos. For one thing, everything considered, it is a very difficult
task. For another thing, it's unlikely that the casinos will sit back and do
nothing about it.
Simply aiming to
win to stay ahead at all times as a primary objective, even by a small margin,
is a more realistic goal and a great achievement.
In a game of chance
using a system is no guarantee of winning, but a well devised roulette system
can streamline your losses, control your winnings and have a strategy that will
give you an opportunity to be a winner.
Roulette systems
that have a strategy to win most of the time but lose out overall, are not winning
systems. A winning system is one with a strategy to make you win overall and
keep you ahead at all times.
It has been shown
time and again that roulette systems that rely on probability have failed to
produce consistent successful results. That is because roulette is not a game
of probability.
At roulette, each
spin is a new spin and the outcome is never determined by prior spins. Therefore,
the probability for a possible outcome is the same for each spin and a probability
advantage cannot be generated.
For example:
Which outcome has a higher probability after eight successive Blacks, Black
again or Red?
The probable answer
is Red.
Wrong! After eight
successive Blacks, a Black is as likely to come as a Red. The wheel has no memory
and it does not keep record of previous results. This is what many gamblers
find hard to believe. This misconception has been around for many years and
will probably be around for as many more years. It is known as the gambler's
fallacy.
In theory, roulette
may be looked at as a game of probability and that the casino advantage of 5.26%
with a double zero wheel (2.7% with a single zero wheel) makes the player a
definite loser. In practice, as far as the player is concerned, roulette is
a game of luck and the player has a chance to win.
If you were to
bet $5 on Black for 38 spins on a double zero wheel, in theory you would win
and lose every other spin and after 38 spins (which is about an hour of play
at a busy table) you would lose $10 for twice the zero outcome.
In practice, during
an hour of play, at some stage, if you were lucky you would be up and if you
were unlucky you would be down by more than $10, and deciding when to quit will
determine the amount of your winnings or losses.
Consider this:
If there was no casino advantage and you were paid 37 to 1 (36 to 1 for a single
zero wheel) instead of 35 to 1 on numbers and didn't lose on the outside bets
when the outcome was zero, during the past several times that you have played
the roulette, would you now be even with your money? Chances are it would not
make much difference. You would still be either winning or losing and by much
more than 5.26%.
The reason is that
at roulette by far the two major factors that determine how much you win or
lose are:
- Your luck on
the day and
- Deciding when
is the best time to quit.
Therefore, for
a roulette system to have a degree of success it has to be linked to luck and
tell you exactly when to quit. Additionally, a good system has to take into
account other obscured but important advantages for both, the casino and the
player. These are:
To the casino:
- The player's
natural greed for money
- The player's
lack of self-discipline and
- Time (the longer
you play the higher the chances that you hit a streak of bad luck and run
out of money).
To the player:
- You can choose
when and where to bet
- You can choose
and vary the amount of your bet and
- You decide when
to quit.
Now, if you agree
to all that has been said so far and give it some thought, you could well apply
a roulette strategy yourself that is linked to luck. Additionally, if you are
able to weaken the above said 3 casino advantages (not easy) and make good use
of the player's 3 advantages, chances are in the long run you will come out
an overall winner.
If you try to beat
the roulette wheel mathematically, it's unlikely that you will get anywhere
even with no casino advantage (no 0-00). Mathematics and gambling don't mix.
In mathematics you know exactly what is going to happen. Gambling is the exact
opposite; you never know what is going to happen - otherwise it wouldn't be
gambling.
*****************
Jacob
Kanzen is a long-time experienced roulette player and has devised and written
the "Gambler's Luck" Roulette System. For more information visit his
award-winning web site titled Kanzen's
Roulette Strategies Info.
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